Igor Panarin is a Russian political scientist and author of multiple books on information warfare. Lately, he?s been conducting one of his own. First introduced in 1998, his theory about the projected 2010 sexpartite territorial collapse of the U.S. hit the media from Warsaw to Beijing last November. Oh, and he used to work for the KGB. Journalists like to emphasize that too.
Dr. Panarin?s most recent hyped-up presentation at the Academy of Diplomatic Sciences at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Moscow comprised twelve points, which ranged from economy to psychology:
1. The collapse of Wall Street banks in 2008.
2. The rise in bankruptcies in the U.S. banking sector (2007-3, 2008-25, 2009-13).
3. The increase in suicides amongst the families of the unemployed.
4. The massive growth of external debt.
5. Eight states announced sovereignty, seven of which did so in February-2009. 12 more states are currently considering the same action.
6. 43 out of 50 states are subsidized.
7. A catastrophic drop in the GDP between Q3-2008 and Q4-2008.
8. A sharp increase in unemployment.
9. The growth of ethnic-based crimes.
10. Native Americans from 5 states have announced their exit from the U.S.
11. The fiscal deficit has grown catastrophically.
12. The rise of illegal immigration.
Neither Panarin?s indicators, nor the rebuttals to his theory, like Russia?s own catastrophic demographics, are surprising. What interests me more is what?s up with this information warrior?s geopolitical Weltanshauung?
Apparently, he is convinced that the United States has been on a steady path to liquidate Russia since the late 19th century. Ever since then, Americans have been trying to annex naturally rich Siberia and the Caucasus, turning the rest of Russia into an informal colony via the extended Monroe Doctrine (!).
Panarin introduced this other theory in 2005 in an article called ?U.S. President Wilson against Russia,? which focused on the anti-Bolshevik intervention during World War I. He argued that America?s goal has always been the aggressive search for export markets, which include Eurasian domination. Prior to the Russian intervention came Veracruz in 1914, much like the Nazi provocation on the Polish border in 1939. Between November-1917 and August-1918, the U.S. attempted to grab the Trans-Siberian railroad, called for the independence of Russia?s Western borderlands, and began the official intervention by landing in Vladivostok, Murmansk, and Arkhangelsk, with further plans to infiltrate the Volga region. The principal geopolitical mechanisms to carve up Russia were developed in the context of the fourteen points and then presented in Paris in 1919. These strategic mechanisms aimed at liquidating Russia have become central to the U.S. foreign policy since WWII, whether seen through Brzezinski?s tactics during the Cold War or in the more recent American interest in the Caucasus.
First, in the late 19th and early 20th century, all the great powers, Britain, Germany, France, Japan, the U.S., and, yes, Russia too, actively pursued diverse expansionist policies in the Far East. Second, Panarin dances around the elephant in the room: Russia as such ceased to exist after the October-1917 Bolshevik Revolution. And, it was the Bolshevik leader, Lenin, who gave away much of the Western borderlands with the devastating Brest-Litovsk Treaty in early 1918.
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